Hidden cost sting in Kenya’s coffee boom

Traders follow the auction process at the Nairobi Coffee Exchange.

Photo credit: File I Nation Media Group

Kenya’s coffee industry is enjoying a strong comeback. At the Nairobi Coffee Exchange, prices in recent weeks have ranged between $370 and $400 per 50 kilogramme bag, nearly double $200 earned just two years ago.

For a sector that has struggled with waning returns for over a decade, this is a welcome shift. Confidence is returning, and coffee once again looks like a viable investment.

But higher prices do not automatically translate into higher profits. Beneath the optimism lies a quieter reality: the cost of producing coffee in Kenya remains stubbornly high. Unless this is addressed, the current price surge may offer only temporary relief.

At farm level, economics tell a more complicated story. Labour remains the single largest expense, accounting for roughly 65 percent of total production costs in many farms.

This reflects both the labour-intensive nature of coffee farming and an ageing rural workforce. Younger workers are leaving for urban opportunities, while competition among farms during peak seasons continues to push wages upward.

The result is a costly imbalance. Producers are paying more for labour, yet struggling with workforce stability.

High turnover during critical periods such as harvesting and pruning reduces efficiency, affects quality, and ultimately increases the cost per kilogramme of coffee produced.

Beyond labour, input costs are rising steadily. Fertiliser and pesticide use remain significant expenses, particularly as changing weather patterns increase pest and disease pressure.

In many cases, farmers are forced into repeated applications just to maintain yields. At the same time, irrigation, now essential in the face of erratic rainfall, has driven up electricity costs, especially for farms reliant on energy-intensive systems.

Security is another often overlooked cost. Theft of coffee, both at farm level and along the value chain, has forced many producers to invest in surveillance, personnel, and infrastructure.

These are necessary expenses, but they add to an already heavy cost structure.

While auction prices have improved, margins remain thin. For many producers, the conversation is dualistic: how much coffee sells for and how much it costs to produce. This is because a high-price environment can mask inefficiencies, turning attention from addressing them.

The cost challenge also has broader implications for Kenya’s global competitiveness.

Countries such as Brazil and Vietnam continue to produce coffee at significantly lower cost, benefiting from scale, mechanisation, and more efficient systems.

Although Kenya’s strength has always been the bean quality, that alone is no longer sufficient if the cost of production continues to rise faster that productivity.

In the current context, the price boom presents both an opportunity and a test. High prices create a breathing space.

They offer producers a chance to reinvest, adapt, and strengthen their operations. They also provide policymakers with a window to implement reforms that go beyond regulation and address the structural challenges facing the sector. The question is whether this moment will be used effectively.

Reducing coffee production costs demands a shift in approach.

First, labour management must evolve. Stabilising the workforce through better incentives, task-specific training, and improved working conditions can reduce turnover and increase productivity.

Second, input use needs to become more efficient. Approaches such as integrated pest management can reduce reliance on costly chemical applications while maintaining crop health.

Third, investment in resource efficiency, particularly in water and energy use, is becoming essential. More efficient irrigation systems can lower both water consumption and electricity costs over time, even if they require higher upfront investment. These are not new ideas. What has been missing is consistent implementation at scale.

Recent policy reforms, including the new Coffee Act and the introduction of a development levy, signal renewed government focus on the sector. This is encouraging. But the success of these measures will ultimately be judged by their impact at the farm level.

Do they improve farmer margins? Do they make Kenyan coffee more competitive? These are the questions that matter.

Domnick Onyango Mtiro is a journalist and a multidisciplinary researcher 

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