True cost of going offline for Africa

Internet shutdowns cost Africa billions, disrupt trade, and threaten East Africa’s growing digital economy.

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Africa lost over $1.5 billion in 2024 to internet shutdowns, with Tanzania alone losing $230 million during election-related restrictions in 2025. While the continent’s digital economy, led by East Africa, is poised to exceed $1 trillion by 2033, repeated shutdowns freeze commerce, halt incomes for small businesses and freelancers, and push Africa further behind the global digital revolution. In a world where money is made online by the minute, turning off the internet is an expensive, self-inflicted economic wound.

In 2024, Africa lost over $1.5 billion in economic output due to internet shutdowns. Tanzania alone lost over $230 million during election-related blocks. Guinea-Bissau, Sudan, South Sudan, Mozambique and Uganda repeatedly cut connectivity when politics heated up. Governments call these temporary measures, but the truth is brutal: every shutdown costs jobs, trade, and growth in real time.

The impact is most visible in East Africa, where digital commerce is growing rapidly. Kenya is projected to generate $3.5 billion in online trade by 2027, while Tanzania and Uganda are catching up, with millions of consumers increasingly shopping, trading, and making payments digitally.

Every shutdown freezes transactions, disrupts supply chains, and halts income for small traders, freelancers, and service providers who rely on mobile money and online platforms. Measures meant to preserve order end up destroying livelihoods, hitting the most vulnerable hardest.

Africa’s wider digital economy shows the scale of what is at stake. Internet-enabled commerce is already worth tens of billions of dollars annually and could surpass $1 trillion by 2033 if growth continues.

Shutdowns during elections or political unrest are not minor inconveniences but self-inflicted obstacles to a rare opportunity for economic leapfrogging. While the rest of the world monetizes the digital revolution by the minute, repeated blackouts systematically undermine Africa’s competitiveness and long-term growth potential.

The immediate victims are not abstract political actors but real economic participants. Small traders lose customers overnight, freelancers miss deadlines for overseas clients, transport operators and service providers grind to a halt, and households relying on mobile money cannot send or receive payments.

Wealthier actors often bypass restrictions with VPNs, satellite connections, or offshore platforms, leaving smaller operators to absorb the losses.

East Africa is particularly vulnerable. Its digital economy is powered largely by youth, informal enterprises, and small businesses operating on thin margins. A single day offline can mean missed rent, unpaid wages, or lost clients, eroding months of effort in hours.

Kenya leads with 8.8 million e-commerce users, Tanzania has 3.4 million, and Uganda has around 3 million, reflecting a growing base of digitally active consumers and entrepreneurs. Each shutdown threatens this growth, undermining confidence and discouraging local and international investment.

The writer is Senior Manager, Communications at Paradigm Initiative.

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